After one of the most popular seasons in the history of Survivor, Survivor: Cambodia – Second Chance has reached its final episode. In a season with more blindsides and twists than ever before, the final six have been determined. Some of the finalists were frontrunners from before the show began based on their past performance from their original season, but others, nobody could have predicted would make it to the end of the game (i.e. Kimmi.)
Before the finale tonight, let’s take a look back at the pre-game predictions for the final 6, and make one final prediction as to who will end up being the sole Survivor.
To see the pre-season predictions for the entire cast, click here.
(Ranked in order from least to most likely to win.)
6. Kimmi Kappenburg (Ranked #14 most likely to win it all back in September.)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION:
If Kimmi Kappenberg does not survive until there is a reward challenge that involves the tribes receiving chickens, I am rioting. After 14 years, Kimmi is back and we may finally get to see her play the game. Back in the Australian Outback we only saw Kimmi survive 1 tribal council, in which the tribe unanimously voted off Debb in the first episode. As a result, we never really got to see Kimmi play the game.
Kimmi has the potential to be a mastermind strategic player, and I desperately hope that she sticks around long enough for us to see her plot and scheme.
Like Shirin, there is a chance she could be seen as a challenge liability, which, on any other season, would make her an early target. This season, however, may have just the right amount of bigger early targets, which could help Kimmi fly under the radar right to the merge.
Final Prediction: She almost gets voted off many times before the merge, but manages to survive. Once the merge happens everyone forgets about her, and she cruises to the end of the game. She will be much more mature and likable than she was 14 years ago, and will be voted off in 4th place, due to the fact that she is well liked by the jury. She doesn’t win, but at the reunion she is so grateful for being able to actually play the game, and making it to the end. And Jeff Probst says the word “redemption” 6 times when referring to her.
FINALE PREDICTION
BY FAR the biggest let down of the season was the fact that Kimmi did not lose her mind about her tribe eating chickens. Her only confrontation was the result of Monica’s desire to save the clams from being depleted. Socrates himself could not have predicted that Kimmi Kappenberg would get into an argument about eating animals, and be the one that was PRO EATING them.
I have always been a Kimmi fan, but am thankful that we were finally able to see her play the game, even though her presence was minimal. Her lack of screen time suggests that she was not a mastermind, but more of a follower. A few weeks ago, she was shown trying to form a female alliance, and that ended up lasting only a few minutes.
She was also much better at challenges than anticipated. She was never a challenge liability, and held her own in all the tribal challenges.
In September, the bold prediction was made of Kimmi coming in 4th place, and that is still a strong possibility. Regardless of her finish, she does not have a shot in hell at winning, but she has certainly redeemed herself, and should be very pleased with her second chance at playing the game.
5. Tasha Fox (Ranked #6 most likely to win back in September)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION
Tasha has decided that this time, instead of playing nice, she will simply “ask God for forgiveness” when the game is over. Tasha means business and has come to win this game. She was on the “brains” tribe in Cagayan, but she is also a physical force to be reckoned with; winning the second most individual immunities of any female contestant ever.
Once again, Tasha is starting the game with Kass, the woman who was mostly responsible for Tasha being voted out of her original season. Not only will she not let Kass screw her over again, I expect Tasha to completely own this game, voting out Kass, and just about everyone else along the way.
Final Prediction: Tasha will make the final 3, but will have pissed off too many people to get their jury votes at the final tribal.
FINALE PREDICTION
I am not sure Tasha has done enough evil that she has to ask her church and God for forgiveness, but she certainly played the game hard, and came to win. She did not shine in the immunity challenges this year, as she did in Cagayan, despite the fact that it seemed like nearly every challenge was a second chance for Cagayan players to redeem themselves.
As predicted, Tasha voted out Kass and, with the exception of Savage and Fishbach, everyone else whose name she wrote down.
I will stick to the prediction that Tasha will make the final three, but will have no chance of winning. The ONLY way Tasha can win is if she is in the final three with Keith and Kimmi. If that was the case, she would get the votes from Jeremy/Spencer/Savage and all she would have to do is convince 1-2 of the other jurors that she is not the devil, and hope they send their vote her way. I would say there is a 1% chance of this happening at best.
4. Keith Nale (Ranked #16 most likely to win back in September)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION
Typically the older members on a tribe are seen as a physical liability, but that is not the case with Keith. He was a challenge beast in San Juan Del Sur, winning more individual immunity challenges than anyone else.
The concern with Keith, however, is his ability to relate to the other castaways and form solid bonds with them. I can see him butting heads with some of the ladies on his tribe, particularly Kass and Kimmi, and if the girls can bond together, Keith will probably be their number 1 target.
In fact, I am anxiously awaiting the first time that Kass is appalled by Keith “hocking a loogie” at camp. The argument will inevitable be dubbed #spitspat by CBS and the hashtag will magically appear on our screen in hopes that we all tweet about the dispute.
Final Prediction: Keith will probably fly under the radar for a while, but will be remembered for his impressive immunity run in his prior season, and will be voted off mid jury.
FINALE PREDICTION
I was wrong with Keith butting heads with some of the ladies on his tribe, and we hardly got any footage or montages of him spitting all over the place. In fact, the only time we saw talk of anyone disliking Keith was last week when he forgot Tasha’s name as he was having a stroke deciding who to pick to join him on the reward.
At this point Keith could beat Kimmi, and he could potentially beat Tasha, but since Tasha is not too fond of Keith, and he doesn’t even know her name, the odds of them ending up in the final three together as extremely unlikely.
It is not out of the realm of possibility that he could beat any of the remaining five if he makes it to the finals, but as he is the biggest remaining challenge threat, he will likely be voted out the first time he does not win immunity.
Pre season prediction had Keith finishing mid jury, but it looks as though he will come up just short of the finals, just like he did his first season. But, if CBS decided to give away another million dollars for “America’s Fan Favorite” like they did when their boy Rupert didn’t win All-Stars, Keith would be the richest man in Shreveport, Louisiana.
3. Spencer Bledsoe (Ranked #7 most likely to win back in September)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION
I predicted Spencer to win his first season from episode 1 and he made it to 4th place. Spencer has everything you need to win this game: he is likable, athletic, intelligent, and strategic. The problem with that is he also has everything you need to be voted off immediately in an all-stars season: he is likable, athletic, intelligent, and strategic.
On top of that, he is also one of 4 returning Cagayan cast members, and you can be assured that the other 16 players are very, very aware of that.
Final Prediction: Spencer will be a huge asset to any tribe he in on pre merge. Once the merge happens, he will be toast once he loses individual immunity. 9th place
FINALE PREDICTION
As predicted Spencer was likable, athletic, intelligent and strategic. In fact, he played the game exactly the way I assumed he would. He narrated much of the season, and his story was developed so America would be rooting for him as an underdog, much like the way his story was developed in Cagayan.
What I overestimated, however, was the Cagayan 4. I can imagine how difficult it must be to trust someone that voted you out in a prior season, but if Woo, Tasha, Spencer and Kass made a pre-season alliance and stuck to it, things could have turned out much better for them. Sure Tasha and Spencer are in the finale, but they would have a much better shot at winning the prize if they were in the finals with Woo and Kass.
I predicted Spencer to be voted out at the merge the first time he didn’t win immunity. Fortunately for him, he found himself a friend in Jeremy at the perfect time.
2. Kelley Wentworth (Ranked #2 most likely to win back in September)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION
Before the season starts, this game is Kelley’s to lose. With her father, Dead Weight Dale, safely being miserable on his couch at home, she can easily fly under the radar. She is a super fan of the show, and she is physically and mentally capable of winning challenges.
I predict Kelley to be the head of an all girls’ alliance, and call all the shots. Kelley is ready to play a ruthless game, and has the potential to be a break out star of this legendary season.
Final Prediction: She will deserve the win, but will fall short and come in 2nd place.
FINALE PREDICTION
Amazingly, Kelley was predicted as the second most likely to win the game back in September, and on the night of the finale is still the second most likely to win the game.
Kelley was predicted to form an all-girl alliance, which she did in a way. If you call whatever Kelley, Kass, Ciera, and Abi-Maria had an all-girl alliance. She was, however, solely responsible for the biggest move in the game; voting out Savage.
In September I predicted Kelley to make it to the finals, and not receive enough votes to win, and while I still do not think she will win, it is not because I think she would lose in a vote. If Kelley makes the finals, I think she will beat any of the remaining finalists. The issue for her is going to be making the finals. The only person she may have on her side right now is her former San Juan Del Sur cast member, Keith. Sure she has an idol, which she will be able to save until the final 5 if Keith loses the first immunity challenge. And sure that idol will advance her to the final 4. But, if Kelley can not win the final immunity challenge, she is a goner.
If, however, Kelley can win the final 4 immunity challenge, she will likely be 1 million dollars richer come 10pm tonight. Crazier things have happened.
1. Jeremy Collins (Ranked most likely to win back in September. No big deal)
(photo credit: cbs.com)
SEPTEMBER PREDICTION
If Jeremy had started San Juan Del Sur on the other tribe, he could have won the game. He had the unfortunate luck of being placed on a tribe (and on a season) with little game play. Jeremy was ready to play the damn game, but he didn’t have the opportunity. This time around Jeremy will be with 19 other players that are ready to play, and he will have all the tools he needs to win Second Chances.
Final Prediction: Jeremy will once again form an alliance with the ladies of the tribe, and I expect him to take those ladies to the final four with him. He will then do what Russell Hantz failed to do, and win the million dollar prize.
FINALE PREDICTION
While I was way off with the way that Jeremy would win the game, I was spot on with the fact that he was there to play the damn game, and wasn’t going to let a second opportunity go to waste.
This time Jeremy decided to bond with the guys, and have secondary relationships, albeit solid ones, with the ladies (with the exception of Tasha, who was his Natalie this season.)
Like Kelley, Jeremy has an idol and can play it through the final 5. If Keith wins immunity at 6, and Kelley uses her idol, Jeremy could be in trouble if he does not use his idol.
If he makes it past the first tribal with his idol in tact, the only way he will not make the finals is if Wentworth wins final 4 immu
In the finals, although Spencer and potentially Wentworth could be more persuasive in telling the jury why they should win, Jeremy has friends all over the jury, and will have more than enough votes to beat any remaining player. If he is in the finals he wins, hands down.
He is by far in the best spot, and nobody deserves it more than he does.
